Wednesday, July 3, 2019

The Ultimate Price is Right Strategy Guide: Bonus Game

Bonus Game

Rules
A bonus prize is shown as is a board with 4 "windows". Then four small prizes are shown, one at a time, and an incorrect price is shown for each of the four small prizes. The contestant must correctly guess if the actual retail price of each small prize is higher or lower than the shown price. If they are correct, they get to "claim" that window. After the pricing for all four small prizes is complete, it is revealed which window the bonus is in. If the contestant claimed that window (i.e. if they correctly guessed higher/lower for that small prize), they win.

Random fact
This was the second game ever played on the show. You can see the full first episode here: 
(This is the same video I posted on the Any Number page.)

Win-loss record
  • Actual (seasons 29-46): 103-43 (70.55%)
  • What it would be by random chance: 1/2 (50%)
The bonus was associated with small prize...
  • #1 (top window): 37 playings (25.34%)
  • #2: 42 playings (28.77%)
  • #3: 40 playings (27.40%)
  • #4 (bottom window): 27 playings (18.49%)
Compared to the price shown, the actual price of the small prize was...
  • Higher: 317 small prizes (54.28%)
  • Lower: 267 small prizes (45.72%)
Strategy
Know the prices of the small prizes. You don't get to pick which window you think the bonus will appear in, so it doesn't matter that the bottom window is fairly infrequently the one with the bonus. And the fact that "higher" is right 54.28% of the time isn't far enough from 50/50 to suggest that you should pick that in general. Thus, this is a "know the prices" game.

No comments:

Post a Comment